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DISH Network Corp (NASDAQ:DISH1) is considering leasing some of its spectrum to Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ2). Analysts at New Street Research believe a deal could be struck before year-end. Verizon CEO, Lowell McAdam has already echoed the sentiments reiterating that Verizon would be highly interested in striking commercial terms for the spectrum.
McAdam has however refuted suggestions that Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ3) could go forth and table a takeout bid for the entire company. Ongoing discussions according to the executive are for the spectrum and nothing else. New Street analysts believe Verizon could structure a deal to acquire spectrum while in return offer Dish capacity for its broadband business. The upcoming auction of 600MHz broadcast TV spectrum slated for March 29, 2016 could be the catalyst behind Verizon/Dish deal. Verizon and AT&T currently have enough low band spectrum but lack sufficient mid and high band spectrum for expanding their services.
Verizon s debt load could, however, pose a big challenge to it being able to pay cash upfront for Dish s spectrum. DISH Network Corp (NASDAQ:DISH4) s spectrum is currently valued at $63 billion. The company controls, 40MHz mid band AWS-4 spectrum 10MHz of 1900 PCS H Block spectrum as well as 6MHz of 700 MHz spectrum. A structured deal would make a lot of sense according to the analysts as the wireless giant cannot folk all the total amount at once. A long-term lease agreement could make up the structured deal.
Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:VZ5) could also push for a right of first refusal should Dish ever decide to sell the spectrum. The analysts believe Dish may remain firm on a $4 billion annual lease fee. Payments could escalate with time, as Verizon uses the spectrum. Verizon could end up paying for the lease in capacity rather than cash. That could work for the two as Dish still needs capacity to offer broadband connections to its 14 million satellite-TV customers.
Nielsen s Total Audience report for Q2 further confirms sentiments that traditional TV is on the decline. Demand for streaming services is on the rise as the report indicates an increase in the number of homes paying for broadband internet. The report affirms the growth of demand for streaming services offered by the likes of Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX1) and Hulu.
Media Stocks on the Decline
Homes connected to broadband are up by 52% to 3.3 million from 2.2 million according to the Nielsen report. Pay TV subscriptions, on the other hand, are keeping up with the downward trend having dropped by 1.2% over the past year to 100.4 million. The decline was first echoed by research firm Strategy Analytics, which termed the loss as the highest until now. The decline in demand for Pay-TV subscription has already had a ripple effect seen by stocks of media companies tumbling in the recent weeks. Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX2) stock, on the other hand, has been one of the best performers this year.
Video on demand is already up by to 45% this year from 18% thanks to the influx of smart TV at homes. Demand for Netflix, Hulu and Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN3) streaming service can only increase as more people start watching TV online. As the tide shifts towards streaming services demand for Pay TV services should continue declining.
Netflix Exclusive Rights
Separately Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX4) has acquired exclusive worldwide streaming rights for popular show How to Get Away With Murder . It is a big score for the streaming giant as star cast Viola Davis is fresh from winning an Emmy. The addition can only bolster the company s library that already boasts of popular shows House of Cards and Orange is The New Black.
Remaining and future territories subscribed to the service will be able to gain access to the film in the fourth quarter or early 2016.